In what is being billed as the most unpredictable general election in UK history, Independent Strategist Olivier Desbarres has made working out what each party will need to gain power, easy.
Olivier, who has a background in Emerging Markets and G10 Research, has created the UK General Election Predictor, which is available to utilise via his website.
It allows the user to enter the number of seats he/she thinks the parties will win and then generate the most likely outcome(s). For first time voters especially, understanding how the election works and the many potential outcomes can be puzzling – but the Predictor cuts through the confusion and presents clear and concise conclusions.
Creator Olivier Desbarres commented: “The UK General Election Predictor is a powerful yet simple to use tool to get a handle on who will likely be in government and set policy for the next five years.
Rather than focussing too closely on opinion polls, which are fluid and to an extent an unreliable way of predicting the election result, I wanted to create a tool that gave users the freedom to input their own party-seats forecasts.”
Olivier relied upon his own knowledge and expert opinion from a vast number of sources to detail the likelihood of parties winning that number of seats and what that combination of seats would entail in terms of likely government composition. These sources include opinion pollsters, analytical models, thinks tanks such as the IPPR, party statements and sources, politically affiliated societies and official sources including the UK Parliament.